Equotion uses the very latest big data analytics techniques to understand comparative form, yard performance, jockey performance and the impact of going, the draw, the race type, distance and a myriad of other factors to select horse / jockey combinations that have the best chance of winning the race.
As with any kind of risk based investing, we don't get it right every time...but we do get it right more often than most and deliver a far greater level of return than form based analysis.
On the site we provide the ability to look back through history at any days racing over the last 2 years...to see our selections and how we fared. We also provide hosts of statistics that allow you to monitor the performance of the tool.
The analysis we have done on this data provides a number of strategies that can be used in conjunction with the data on the site to deliver a betting approach that suits your needs.
Maximum Spread, Minimum Risk
For many people taking a long view is key to generating returns. In order to do this it is important that you don't lose your pot and that you are able to maintain your staking plan pretty much indefinitely.
The simplest strategy you can employ with Equation is to take 25% of your pot daily and spread this across every selection we make each day. This will mean placing between 20 and 75 bets each day, spreading your risk as widely as is possible.
This is the strategy that drives the results on the site and is as straightforward as it gets - you don't need to make any decisions, just tell the system how much you want to bet and it will provide the list of selections alongside the amount to bet on each.
Corroborated Staking
By taking our selections, rejecting those that are uncorroborated in the wider market (Racing Post provides a consolidated list of the newspaper tipsters) you are able to identify the bets that are supported by numerous tipsters using differing analytical methods. Looking at the Timeform and ProForm selections also provides additional insight.
Working this way you are likely to back more winners...but the winners are likely to be at much lower odds. Having to wait for visibility of other tipsters / selections means that you will miss out on the best prices.
That said, if you wanted to identify good choices for multiples (doubles, triples, multi folds etc) then this is a good way of minimising your risk.
Value Hunting
If you have a Turf Accountant subscription we provide you with our top 3 selections per race. By looking through the various suggestions and backing the long odds horses you can often drive very significant returns. This is a high risk strategy that is likely to leave you with a total loss on the day, but winning days can be very significant. This is often used in conjunction with a lower risk staking plan
Forecast Betting
Using Turf Accountant opens up the option of placing forecast bets. Taking our top 3 picks and backing these in races where the odds provide a reasonable change of making a return is a great way of driving significant returns. Again this is a high risk plan best used in conjunction with another lower risk plan or by only staking a low percentage of your pot.
Multiple Bets
Because Equotion greatly increases the odds of winning it is a great tool for deriving multiple bet plans. The best returns come from backing doubles out of a list of corroborated selections but it is possible to win on multi-fold bets if you have the time to analyse the cards a little deeper.
Totepool Betting
We have had considerable success placing TotePool bets - our best result this year was a £120 place pot bet that returned £3,900. You need a Turf Accountant subscription to do this and by selecting two of the three top selections for the first four legs and all three of the top subscriptions for the last two, you are able to maximise your chances of winning the pool and claiming the maximum number of units.
Coming Soon
We are in the process of developing a betting strategy screen that will allow you to apply control filters to the selections, reducing the overall number of bets you place whilst at the same time maintaining the win rates. This screen will allow you to filter on a whole raft of criteria including draw, yard / jockey selections, odds and our new Value metric (more later).
This will allow you to try out various strategies and see both the profitability and the maximum liability this will have generated in a given period. We believe that this, combined with the inherent accuracy of the Equation system, will be the last word in driving substantial returns from your race betting.
In Summary
Equotion represents the very latest in predictive analytics from large scale unstructured data sets. Using AI algorithms it provides you with the base information you need to place a variety of bets on the UK and Ireland horse racing markets.
This blog aims to provide you with the information you need to best utilise the site and to improve your own betting returns.
In the future we will share our moves into new markets, a wider array of sports betting and ultimately into the world of FX, Commodities and Share Dealing. Our predictive algorithms have a significant advantage over the incremental / volume / swarm trading solutions currently in the market - predicting the way the market will move then maximising returns by exploiting the way the current generation of solutions chase market movement.
2017 will be a pivotal year for Equotion and we hope you choose to be involved in our evolution.
No comments:
Post a Comment